Changing Order

Strategic Analysis & Crisis Monitoring
Vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz
Africa · Humanitarian Analysis
Caught in the Crossfire: Africa's Humanitarian Aid in the Shadow of the Hormuz Blockade

With funding already cut and supply routes now blocked, Africa's humanitarian system is facing two crises at once — and the response is treating them as separate problems.

Yomna El Bakly 4 May 2026 · 8 min read
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Iran
US-Israel strikes ongoing. Khamenei killed 1 March. Counter-strikes on Gulf bases reported.
Critical
Sudan
SAF–RSF conflict continuing. Humanitarian access severely limited across Darfur.
Critical
Iraq
Shia militia mobilization following Iran strikes. US bases on heightened alert.
High
Red Sea / Yemen
Houthi posture uncertain post-Khamenei. Shipping risk remains elevated.
High
Burkina Faso
Junta restricts NGO access. Displacement accelerating in nord and est regions.
Elevated
DRC — East
M23 consolidating position. MONUSCO withdrawal leaves security vacuum in North Kivu.
Elevated
Critical
High
Elevated
Updated 8 March 2026
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